Assessing the efficiency of China’s environmental regulation on carbon emissions based on Tapio decoupling models and GMM models

By Guo Wenbo, Chenwei Yan. Energy Reports, 2018

128 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Abstract This paper takes 30 provinces in China from 2004 to 2015 as research samples, using the Tapio decoupling models, differential GMM methods and peak forecasting models to analyze the effect of environmental regulation on carbon emissions, and subdividing the research sample from the regional and temporal dimensions to analyze the effectiveness of environmental regulations in different regions and at different time periods. The analysis results show that, with the advancement of environmental regulation, the dependence of China’s economic growth on fossil energy has experienced a process from weak to strong and weak. There is a significant inverted U-shaped curve relationship between environmental regulation and CO2 emissions and CO2 emissions intensity. As the intensity of environmental regulation changes from weak to strong, the impact effect changes from “green paradox” effect to “back-forced reduction” effect. The effect of environmental regulation in the eastern region is better than that in the central and western regions. However, with the implementation of environmental regulation, the inverted U-shaped curve between environmental regulation and carbon emissions gradually becomes flat. The results of the peak forecast show that China has crossed the peak of CO2 emissions intensity, but has not exceeded the peak of CO2 emissions. By further optimizing environmental regulations, China may reach its CO2 emissions peak by 2030. Overall, China’s environmental regulations at the current stage can effectively curb carbon emissions and achieve the desired goals.

Subfields: Economics and Econometrics, Environmental Engineering

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/04f0d2d5bcc9929149f32faffc55689f8bbe4605

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Citations in the corpus

Environmental policy stringency, renewable energy consumption and CO2 emissions: Panel cointegration analysis for BRIICTS countries (2020, background): “Wenbo and Yan (2018) also found a significant inverted U-shaped curve relationship between environmental regulation and CO2 emissions in China.”
Economic growth, renewable energy consumption, and ecological footprint: Exploring the role of environmental regulations and democracy in sustainable development (2021, methodology): “Using data from 30 Chinese provinces, Wenbo and Yan (2018) proved that Chinese environmental regulations effectively alleviate CO2 emissions; however, the impact of ER on emissions is subject to regional variations.”