TESTING AUTOMATED SOLAR FLARE FORECASTING WITH 13 YEARS OF MICHELSON DOPPLER IMAGER MAGNETOGRAMS

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The Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI) Vector Magnetic Field Pipeline: Overview and Performance (2014, background): “There is an extensive literature describing potentially useful active-region indices (e.g. Leka and Barnes, 2003a, 2003b, 2007; Barnes and Leka, 2006, 2008; Falconer, Moore, and Gary, 2008; Schrijver, 2007; Mason and Hoeksema, 2010; Georgoulis and Rust, 2007).”
TOWARD RELIABLE BENCHMARKING OF SOLAR FLARE FORECASTING METHODS (2012, methodology): “The Mason & Hoeksema (2010) technique is segmented by predicting “no flare” for ARs with a magnetic quantity change over the previous 40 hr below one threshold and “flare” for ARs with changes above a second higher threshold.”
SOLAR FLARE PREDICTION USING SDO/HMI VECTOR MAGNETIC FIELD DATA WITH A MACHINE-LEARNING ALGORITHM (2014, methodology): “For Mason & Hoeksema (2010) we use the contingency table they provide in Table 2.”
A COMPARISON OF FLARE FORECASTING METHODS. I. RESULTS FROM THE “ALL-CLEAR” WORKSHOP (2016, background): “…about how well each works (e.g., Abramenko 2005; McAteer et al. 2005a; Jing et al. 2006; Leka & Barnes 2007; Schrijver 2007; Barnes & Leka 2008; Mason & Hoeksema 2010; Yu et al. 2010; Yang et al. 2013; Al- Ghraibah et al. 2015; Boucheron et al. 2015, in addition to references for each method…”