Fair space weather for solar cycle 24

By K. Schatten. 2005

166 citations recorded by the source corpus.

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/003f3dc4d343d1809973b9527599e0e003095595

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In Astronomy and Astrophysics

Citations in the corpus

Solar activity forecast with a dynamo model (2007, methodology): “…there is reasonably good evidence that the strength of the cycle n + 1 is strongly correlated with the polar field at the end of cycle n, giving credence to the method of predicting solar cycles by using the polar field at the preceding minimum as a precursor (Svalgaard et al. 2005, Schatten 2005).”
Predicting the strength of solar cycle 24 using a flux‐transport dynamo‐based tool (2006, methodology): “…old cycle data has been attempted by various methods (see a detailed review by Hathaway et al. [1999, and references therein], A particularly popular current method [Svalgaard et al., 2005; Schatten, 2005] involves the use of polar fields from previous cycles as ‘‘precursors’’, of the next cycle.”
ON THE WEAKENING OF THE POLAR MAGNETIC FIELDS DURING SOLAR CYCLE 23 (2009, background): “…next cycle are generated by converting the pre-existing poloidal field into toroidal flux (Cameron & Schüssler 2007; Choudhuri et al. 2007; Dikpati 2008; Dikpati & Gilman 2006; Dikpati et al. 2006, 2008; Hathaway 2009; Schatten 2005; Svalgaard et al. 2005; Wang & Sheeley 2009; Yeates et al. 2008).”
Exploring the Physical Basis of Solar Cycle Predictions: Flux Transport Dynamics and Persistence of Memory in Advection- versus Diffusion-dominated Solar Convection Zones (2007, result): “The latter prediction is somewhat similar in spirit to the precursor methods (Schatten 2005; Svalgaard et al. 2005), which use the polar field at cycle minimum to predict the amplitude of the following cycle.”
Simulating and Predicting Solar Cycles Using a Flux-Transport Dynamo (2006, methodology): “This finding is in agreement with the predictions by Hathaway & Wilson (2004) andTsirulnik et al. (1997), but in contrast to that of Svalgaard et al. (2005) and Schatten (2005).”
Weaker solar wind from the polar coronal holes and the whole Sun (2008, background): “In fact, the SC 23 activity minimum has been somewhat less usual in that polar magnetic fields remained weak and well formed PCHs didn’t begin to emerge early in the solar minimum phase of this cycle [Schatten, 2005].”